Тrends and prospects of meat market development in Ukraine

Mamchur, Liudmyla

National Research Center "Institute of Agrarian Economics" 10, Heroes of Defense str., Kyiv, 03127, Ukraine

Mamchur L. (2020) Тendentsii ta perspektyvy rozvytku rynku miasa v Ukraini. [Тrends and prospects of meat market development in Ukraine]. Sotsialno-ekonomichni problemy i derzhava [Socio-Economic Problems and the State] (electronic journal), Vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 24-33. Available at: http://sepd.tntu.edu.ua/images/stories/pdf/2020/20mlvmvu.pdf

dec-2020

sep-2020

Ternopil Ivan Puluj National Technical University

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5111-5081

https://doi.org/10.33108/sepd2020.02.024

338.28:339.13: 339.14: 637.5

D40
E23
Q11
O2

trends,
perspective
development
meat market
meat balance
forecast

10

24-33

24

33

The purpose of the article is to analyse the main performance indicators of the functioning and development of the meat market and to assess the prospects for its development, from the standpoint of providing it with raw meat. The research uses the following methods: analysis and synthesis, analytical generalizations, graphic - in the analysis of the meat market; balance - in determining the market equilibrium of supply and demand, their changes and interactions, statistical, extrapolation, design, mathematical modelling, decomposition of the time series - in forecasting the development of the meat market. The main trends and features of the functioning and development of the meat market are determined, based on the analysis of component indicators, a slight but still increase in the total supply of meat and meat products, by increasing its own meat production by 5.2% which ensured an increase in domestic demand. Based on the current balance of supply and demand of meat and meat products in Ukraine as indicators of market efficiency, the level of consumer security of meat consumption in Ukraine is determined, and it is established that the level of income is the basic condition for consumption growth. In the framework of this study using the method of exponential smoothing with a damped trend, the calculation of forecast indicators of the balance of supply and demand of meat and meat products in Ukraine. Methodological approaches to forecasting the meat market have been further developed. The results of the study can be used by experts to assess the level of development of the meat market, government officials in choosing areas of regional and public policy, researchers to expand the scope of research.

http://elartu.tntu.edu.ua/handle/lib/35860

2223-3822

Scientific Journal "Socio-Economic Problems and the State"

http://sepd.tntu.edu.ua/images/stories/pdf/2020/20mlvmvu.pdf

1. Information system “Calculation of milk balance forecast for Ukraine” URL: http://meatbalance.org.ua/index.php?PGID=2.
2. Prokopenko, O. M. (Ed.) (2019). Balansy ta spozhyvannia osnovnych produktiv kharchuvannia naselenniam Ukrainy [Bal-ances and consumption of basic food products by the popula-tion of Ukraine]. Kyiv: Derzhstat [in Ukrainian].
3. Derzhavna sluzhba statystyky Ukrainy [The State Statis-tics Service of Ukraine]. Retrived from: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua [in Ukrainian].

Article

Scientific Journal "Socio-Economic Problems and the State", Vol.23, No.2